john hawks weblog

paleoanthropology, genetics and evolution

Ewald bird flu spat

Wed, 2005-11-09 00:51 -- John Hawks

Scientific American has an editors' blog, SciAm Observations. I point to it because a series of recent posts has included an interesting exchange among evolutionary biologist Paul Ewald, the editor John Rennie, and an anonymous "senior public health scientist". The exchange developed after an LA Times op-ed by Wendy Orent, which discussed Ewald's views.

Ewald believes on evolutionary grounds that any bird flu pandemic is likely to have a much lower mortality rate from the disease than either the recent cases of the H5N1 variant or the 1918 pandemic. From his letter:

The future that we are debating concerns the evolution of influenza viruses. Being an expert on the molecular biology or epidemiology of influenza viruses does not translate into expert assessments of the future evolution of influenza viruses. One need only peruse the writings of such influenza experts to recognize that they generally fail to incorporate the most essential component of the evolutionary process into their arguments--they talk as though mutation and reassortment were the only processes relevant to the evolution of influenza viruses. To discuss evolutionary processes with any degree of expertise one must focus on natural selection. Mutations and reassortments generate the variation on which natural selection acts. But natural selection molds viral evolution.

...

A second process critical to accurate predictions of the future threat posed by H5N1 is the evolution of virulence. The evolution of virulence is linked to the evolution of transmissibility because high virulence itself curtails transmission unless conditions allow transmission from people who are immobilized with illness. Evolution of increased transmissibility of H5N1 from human to human is bound to go hand in hand with drastic evolutionary reductions in virulence. The history of influenza provides strong evidence for this conclusion. Except for the 1918 pandemic, all the trustworthy evidence from all the years of well documented influenza epidemics and pandemics indicate that influenza viruses maintain themselves evolutionarily at low to moderate virulence when transmission depends on host mobility. Influenza experts who do not understand natural selection--or choose to ignore its implications--fail to realize how powerful this evidence is. The last century represents countless thousands of "natural experiments" involving countless trillions of mutation-prone viruses. If the highly virulent variants were able to spread in competition with strains of low or moderate virulence we would see some evidence of regional outbreaks. Instead we see only epidemics and pandemics of low to moderate virulence.

Essentially, the theory is that a virus that spreads by social contact requires its host to be socially active in order to spread. Make him too sick, and he won't be seeing very many people. Some diseases, like malaria and cholera, don't fit this model because they can spread from inactive hosts --- mosquitoes carry malaria away from a prostrate body, cholera spreads in water fouled by the sick. Ewald argues that the 1918 flu was likewise an exception, because situations like the trenches in Western Europe and the open sick wards of hospitals allowed the virus to spread effectively from incapacitated hosts to many new ones.

A later post carries a reply by the anonymous critic. Here's an excerpt:

But it should be obvious, even to him, that if a very virulent disease becomes transmissible before virulent effects immobilize the host, very virulent diseases can propagate with ease. SARS is not very transmissible until the host is seriously ill. Influenza, on the other hand, is transmissible before and during the early phases of illness. Moreover, Ewald objects that a 2% mortality shows the virus is very virulent. Why? Yes, 2% is high mortality for seasonal flu, whose case-fatality rate is usually on the order of 0.1%, the very figure Ewald predicts will hold for a pandemic strain. What epidemiologists know about pandemic strains, however, is that they tend to have higher mortality than the seasonal ones. Ewald assumes that there will be no difference in mortality from a subtype against which there is no population immunity compared to one where there is substantial population immunity. We know 2% mortality is attainable by influenza. I guess being an expert in evolutionary biology doesn't make you an expert in immunology, public health or infectious disease epidemiology.

If you're interested in the bird flu, the exchange is worth reading in full, along with Rennie's earlier posts. None of the participants is saying (as far as I can tell) that a flu pandemic wouldn't be a terrible thing. They differ on the likely mortality rate in the event a pandemic should occur -- Ewald predicts it won't be greatly above the yearly flu strains that we already see, others predict it will either be much higher or even catastrophically higher.

I don't have a dog in this hunt, but I notice several points:

1. Almost no mainstream press accounts of the bird flu threat discuss anything about the evolution of influenza. This is probably the most important public impact of evolutionary theory today, but we hear almost nothing of the evolutionary modeling of how the virus may change.

2. Ewald is very well known for studying the evolutionary dynamics of disease. He is making an argument that is sound, as far as the dynamics of selection are concerned. Thus, there are good reasons to think that the worst will not happen, and this is a perspective that has been underplayed.

3. So far, the theory has only been tested by a relatively small number of instances -- there just haven't been so many pandemics that we can infer accurately from past events what the future will be like. It could certainly happen that some new influenza strain could violate the model in some unexpected way, and for this reason governments should play it safe rather than assume that no high-virulence pandemic will emerge.

4. A lot of public health scientists are going to be well-employed for as long as the bird flu remains in the public perception. This doesn't mean that they are wrong to convey alarm, but it does mean that they don't benefit by playing down the threat. It's sort of like NASA and the asteroid impact threat --- partly they are more concerned because they know more about the threat and its terrible effects, partly because it's their job to be concerned.

5. There are a lot of biologists who don't use or understand selection.

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Oh, it's funny. What a relief!

Mon, 2005-11-07 21:13 -- John Hawks

Here's an AP story about humor and the sexes:

Women seem more likely than men to enjoy a good joke, mainly because they don't always expect it to be funny.

...

Women were subjecting humor to more analysis with the aim of determining if it was indeed funny, Reiss said in a telephone interview.

Men are using the same network in the brain, but less so, he said, men are less discriminating.

"It doesn't take a lot of analytical machinery to think someone getting poked in the eye is funny," he commented when asked about humor like the Three Stooges.

Yes, stereotype is the basis of all science -- er, humor.

The MRI data show that this is another nucleus accumbens story, in this case with connection to the left prefrontal cortex. So humor connects the rational headquarters of the brain with the dopamine-rich reward center. Stooge that!

Arnie Cann, a psychology professor at the University of North Carolina, Charlotte, commented: "Given the findings in the current study, that women appear to use more executive functions, it could be that they are more engaged in scrutinizing the humor to decide if it fits their views on what is acceptable humor. Once they decide the humor is OK, they could be experiencing a relief-like response."

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Another reason for paranoia about genetic testing

Sun, 2005-11-06 13:17 -- John Hawks

I'm usually very skeptical of claims that widespread DNA testing will result in bad effects -- "Big Brother" finding out your genotype and discriminating against you, for example. A lot of people are afraid of it, but there has been a lot of unnecessary scaremongering.

But today I read this New Scientist story by Alison Motluk:

Anonymous sperm donor traced on internet

LATE last year, a 15-year-old boy rubbed a swab along the inside of his cheek, popped it into a vial and sent it off to an online genealogy DNA-testing service. But unlike most people who contact the service, he was not interested in sketching the far reaches of his family tree. His mother had conceived using donor sperm and he wanted to track down his genetic father.

Now, that doesn't sound so bad, does it? The biological father must have also submitted his DNA to some genealogy database, which came up as a match, right?

Wrong!

The boy paid FamilyTreeDNA.com $289 for the service. His genetic father had never supplied his DNA to the site, but all that was needed was for someone in the same paternal line to be on file. After nine months of waiting and having agreed to have his contact details available to other clients, the boy was contacted by two men with Y chromosomes closely matching his own. The two did not know each other, but the similarity between their Y chromosomes suggested there was a 50 per cent chance that all three had the same father, grandfather or great-grandfather.

Importantly, the men both had the same last name, albeit with different spellings. This was the vital clue the boy needed to start his search in earnest. Though his donor had been anonymous, his mother had been told the man's date and place of birth and his college degree. Using another online service, Omnitrace.com, he purchased the names of everyone that had been born in the same place on the same day. Only one man had the surname he was looking for, and within 10 days he had made contact.

The implication is very simple: no one is anonymous. Suppose you let your DNA slip anywhere. Everyone does to the tune of 36 million cells per day, not to mention the occasional lucky sperm. Now if one of your relatives is careless enough to have his name and DNA sequence associated in a public database, then your entire genetic profile may be available to anyone who's interested.

This seems like a pretty simple way to find out the surname of any unknown DNA sample you might have. Most relatively common US surnames already have entries at one or more genealogy registry. If a motivated fifteen-year-old can do it once, the CIA can certainly do it indefinitely many times. All that is needed is for somebody to want to find you.

Better not give them a reason.

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Mitochondriating your IQ

Sat, 2005-11-05 21:32 -- John Hawks

Again, a completely unrelated search unearthed an interesting paper. This time it really is a piece of Google archaeology, since it has zero citations according to ISI -- just a dead end so far. The paper is by Mark G. Thomas and colleagues, in the journal Intelligence from 1998; here's the abstract:

Recently a mitochondrial DNA polymorphism (EST00083) was found at significantly different frequencies in high IQ and low IQ groups in two independent studies. We have used mitochondrial sequences from a range of populations to show that this polymorphism occurred more than once in human history. Furthermore, the polymorphism is particularly common in Europe where it is predominantly associated with a single mitochondrial line (lineage) that appears to date back to the expansion of anatomically modern humans into Europe about 35,000 years ago. Examination of the genetic diversity within this mitochondrial lineage, together with the known migration and settlement of Europeans into the USA, suggests that the observed IQ associated polymorphism found in Cleveland Ohio is likely to be restricted to only one form (sub-group) of this mitochondrial lineage.

And there's this in the introduction:

Considering the central role that mtDNA gene products play in the energy metabolism of the cell, a causative link between mtDNA mutations and cognitive ability remains a strong possibility. Apart from the existence of a number of neuro-degenerative diseases associated with mtDNA lesions (Wallace, 1992; Shoffner & Wallace, 1994), there is a case in which a patient's IQ was found to increase by 20 points upon treatment for mitochondrial dysfunction (Anezaki, Yanagisawa, Ibayashi, & Miyatake, 1992) (Thomas et al. 1998:171).

The marker is a restriction site deletion that is fairly common in Europeans and less so in East Asians; they conclude that if there is a real QTL for intelligence on the mtDNA, it is likely not carried by all the variants with this marker, but instead only a subset. Is it real? How old is it? How common?

Oh, and as for that 20 point increase in IQ after mitochondrial treatment? That paper was only cited once -- by this one.

References:

Thomas MG, Miller KWP, Mascie-Taylor CGN. 1998. Mitochondrial DNA and IQ in Europe. Intelligence 26:167-173.

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The shadow meta-journal

Sat, 2005-11-05 21:18 -- John Hawks

I've been noticing that Google Scholar searches are getting better at coming up with PDF versions of articles. Sometimes these are hosted from journal sites -- and pop right up if the university has a subscription. But more often they are hosted from the authors' websites -- as in, "Here is my lab website, here are PDF's of my papers."

Now, this is against most of those copyright agreements that authors have to sign to put their work in journals. Those boilerplate agreements almost always allow distribution of preprints (i.e. ugly double-spaced manuscripts) but not formatted proofs or journal PDF's. But most of the papers you will find in a search are original journal PDF's.

I just want to thank everyone who puts their papers online. It's incredibly useful. Personally, I'm moving more toward submitting to open access journals, at least where the papers are a good fit.

Can I also say that Google Scholar is incredibly easier for finding something at a journal site instead of using the search methods from the publishers themselves?

By far my biggest complaint is the whole implementation of the digital object identifiers (DOI) by publishers. Remember how those were supposed to make everything easily searchable with a single number? Now, some journals require you to include DOI's in bibliographic entries, presumably so that they can do online hotlinks in their online fulltext. But have you every tried to search for something by DOI? Most journals give you no results at all. And there's no way to search for things across many different journals with the DOI. It's all a mess. And here most of us are busily entering DOI's in our bibliographic databases. What a waste of time!

Of course, the Google Scholar citation search is less complete than ISI. Heck, ISI is even tracking my weblog. But I am really beginning to lean on having the first line of text in the search results. It really cuts my time sifting out stuff I don't need or want.

Attractive women have high estrogen?

Fri, 2005-11-04 23:06 -- John Hawks

This BBC story covers this paper (warning! PDF!) that found a correlation (r = 0.48) between attractiveness and estrogen level in women:

The findings make evolutionary sense - men are attracted to the most fertile women, the University of St Andrews team told a Royal Society journal.

Oestrogen levels during puberty can impact on appearance by affecting bone growth and skin texture, they said.

...

The team of psychologists at the University's Perception Lab photographed 59 young women's faces aged between 18 and 25 and analysed their sex hormone levels.

They then asked 30 volunteers - 15 male and 15 female - to rate the faces according to attractiveness.

Both male and female volunteers rated the faces of the women with the highest hormone levels as the most attractive.

My first reaction was that it just seems so...unlikely.

My more studied reaction is that I'm not sure that the results are as interesting as they look at first glance. The paper is conservative in its interpretations -- much more so than the comments in the BBC article would suggest.

The general idea is that males want to be able to assess female fertility, and if they can "read" estrogen levels through facial characteristics (which they perceive as "attractiveness") then it should have been adaptive.

This argument would have to be based on two correlations: a correlation between "attractiveness" and estrogen level during facial development, and a correlation of estrogen level during facial development and fertility. This paper reports the first of the two.

The second is (as far as I know) unknown, although there may be some hints in the opposite direction. There is this paper for example, describing the effect of estrogen treatment to reduce final stature in tall girls (estrogen promotes early epiphyseal fusion):

Fertility problems were more prevalent in women previously given estrogens to lessen their adult height....Among women attempting to become pregnant for the first time, the likelihood of conceiving every month was much lower for treated than for untreated women ( Fig. 1). Women treated for tall stature had a significantly lower age-adjusted per-cycle rate of conceiving a first pregnancy. Fecundability was impaired both in women treated with DES and those given EE, and the timing of treatment (before or after menarche) and its duration did not influence the findings.

It seems to me that if pubertal estrogen levels influence fertility, the strongest effect should be on the age at menarche -- since that influences the reproductive lifespan.

Menarche would be a much more important reason for men to be able to assess estrogen levels in developing women. In small human groups, most men probably would have had a very good knowledge of all the women who would be potential mates. Attractiveness might have made some considerable difference to mating decisions, but these would also have been subject to many other constraints. On the other hand, it would be of great value to be able to accurately assess when new maturing young women would become available to mating. A young woman would likely be well-served to provoke some competition between males. Signaling maturity through physical changes would be a way to spur this competition -- which in many cases would have played out over many months or even years.

A major influence on age at menarche is fatness, and fatness is related to estrogen levels in older women (Kaplowitz et al. 2001). Fatness may also significantly affect assessments of attractiveness, although not in an obvious way. I would guess that a slightly fuller face would be generally regarded as more "feminine", and in the study "feminine" ratings were correlated (r=0.97) with attractiveness. Certainly the average physiognomy of the 10 high-estrogen women in their sample has a fuller face than the average of the 10 low-estrogen women:

Left: 10 highest-estrogen average face. Center: 10 lowest-estrogen average. Right: Actress Lindsay Lohan giving come-hither look.

On the other hand, facial fullness -- especially in the lower face -- may not be a good guide to fatness generally. It's all just so confusing!

The pictures do give a good hint to the "make-up effect" that the article discusses:

"The findings about make-up are also interesting. The implication is that women are employing a deceptive strategy. They can fool the male visual system with make-up."

Yeah. They appear to fool "love bugs", too.

Probing the brain toolkit, one disorder at a time

Fri, 2005-11-04 23:06 -- John Hawks

A short review in Science by Greg Miller discusses genetic correlates of dyslexia.

In one new study, a collaboration of 20 researchers led by Haiying Meng and Jeffrey Gruen of Yale University School of Medicine homed in on a region of chromosome 6 that had been fingered previously. Using DNA from 536 people with a dyslexic in their families, the researchers tracked 147 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), spots where the genetic code differs by one letter among individuals. Searching for SNPs that tend to have one "spelling" in people with reading impairments and another spelling in normal readers, the researchers found a disproportionate number of such SNPs in a gene called DCDC2. They also found that about 17% of dyslexics were missing a short stretch of DNA within DCDC2. Everyone who had this deletion had dyslexia, Gruen says.

Am I the only one who finds it particularly perverse to refer to SNPs as having "another spelling" in people with reading impairments?

In any event, two of the genes identified here -- DCDC2 and ROBO1 (OMIM) -- both have functions in neuron migration and connections in animal models.

ROBO1 is especially interesting, because it appears to be an inhibitor of neural connections across the midline:

Axonal growth cones that cross the nervous system midline change their responsiveness to midline guidance cues: they become repelled by the repellent Slit (603746) and simultaneously lose responsiveness to the attractant netrin (601614). These mutually reinforcing changes help to expel growth cones from the midline by making a once-attractive environment appear repulsive. Stein and Tessier-Lavigne (2001) provided evidence that these 2 changes are causally linked: in the growth cones of embryonic Xenopus spinal axons, activation of the Slit receptor Robo silences the attractive effect of netrin-1, but not its growth-stimulatory effect, through direct binding of the cytoplasmic domain of Robo to that of the netrin receptor DCC (120470). Biologically, this hierarchical silencing mechanism helps to prevent a tug-of-war between attractive and repulsive signals in the growth cone that might cause confusion. Molecularly, silencing is enabled by a modular and interlocking design of the cytoplasmic domains of these potentially antagonistic receptors that predetermines the outcome of their simultaneous activation.

Using a variety of mammalian, avian, and Drosophila constructs and cells, Rhee et al. (2002) showed that Robo, activated by Slit (see 603742), disrupted cell adhesion and neurite outgrowth mediated by N-cadherin (114020). Robo activation was accompanied by tyrosine phosphorylation of beta-catenin (116806) and the loss of beta-catenin from N-cadherin complexes. The result was the formation of a complex between Robo and N-cadherin, uncoupling N-cadherin from its association with the cytoskeleton. The C terminus of Robo mediated these effects. Rhee et al. (2002) concluded that a repulsive cue could be directly converted into decreased traction between the growth cone and the substrate (OMIM).

In other words, ROBO1 may help mediate the connection of the two hemispheres. The functional link to dyslexia is not yet clear, but one might speculate about a possible disruption (or even an undesirable increase) of across-brain communication and integration of sensory or cognitive information.

A third gene, KIAA0319, may also be involved in brain development.

One may imagine a system of toolkit genes, activated differently in different parts of the developing cortex during early embryonic development. Later, the gene products regulate the responsiveness of different neurons to growth activators and inhibitors. This system results in the shape of the brain -- where the neurons are, and where they aren't. It can draw the migration of some neurons across cortical layers, and sketch their axons across the brain.

It is therefore interesting that we are beginning to connect observable variation in brain function to some of these activators and inhibitors -- the last links in the chain of brain development. In contrast, toolkit genes are essential to tissue differentiation and the spatial determination of body parts. Elsewhere in the body, alterations to toolkit genes may result in segmental duplications, agenesis of body parts (such as limbs, fingers, or organs) and other gross anatomical abnormalities.

We have developed a lot of information about toolkit genes in the body (the Hox clusters are the best-known example). But so far we know less about the genes that influence the early development and differentiation of the brain. Perhaps the microcephaly-related genes are part of this neurodevelopmental toolkit. Perhaps most of the toolkit effects are yet earlier in development, and mutations result in nonviability. Or perhaps there is a large set of low-incidence brain-region-specific developmental disorders that have yet to be systematized.

References:

Miller G. 2005. Genes that guide brain development linked to dyslexia. Science 310:759. Full text (subscription)

Rhee, J.; Mahfooz, N. S.; Arregui, C.; Lilien, J.; Balsamo, J.; VanBerkum, M. F. A. 2002. Activation of the repulsive receptor roundabout inhibits N-cadherin-mediated cell adhesion. Nature Cell Biol 4: 798-805. PubMed

Stein, E.; Tessier-Lavigne, M. 2001. Hierarchical organization of guidance receptors: silencing of netrin attraction by Slit through a Robo/DCC receptor complex. Science 291: 1928-1938. PubMed

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Evolution of the offensive line

Thu, 2005-11-03 22:56 -- John Hawks

George Will's Newsweek column is about football this week -- specifically a discussion of changes in the sport since the days of the late "Bear" Bryant.

He gave some facts about change in player weight that surprised me:

Also in the 1960s, unlimited substitution began making huge players practical as offensive or defensive specialists. Barra notes that Bryant's 1966 team "looked like an average high school team today." It went 11-0 and then won the Sugar Bowl. It had only 14 players who weighed more than 200 pounds. The two heaviest weighed 213. The linemen averaged 195. The quarterback weighed 175.

Today, Scouts, Inc., reports that nearly 40 percent of the interior linemen who will go to Division I colleges in September 2006 -- many of these players not yet 18 -- already weigh at least 300 pounds. In 1980, only one NFL player topped 300. In 1994, the year a mortality study found that linemen have a 52 percent greater risk of dying from cardiovascular disease than the general population and that the largest players have six times the risk of cardiac death than normal-size players, the number of 300-pounders was 155. Ten years later 370 NFL players exceeded 300, and 10 exceeded 350.

This season, the offensive lines of 30 of the 32 NFL teams average at least 300 pounds, and one team averages 323. Of the 61 offensive college linemen invited to last February's NFL Scouting Combine, 58 weighed at least 300. Of the three little fellows, one weighed 299 and two weighed 298.

Of course, other players are getting bigger too -- even quarterbacks. But the change in offensive linemen is remarkable. An interesting case of a sudden shift in the conditions of existence, followed by gradual evolution to fill an new niche.

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Paleoanthropology: the new cryptozoology?

Thu, 2005-11-03 22:38 -- John Hawks

I got about halfway through this Wired article by Mark Baard about the "resurgence" of cryptozoology, when I found this:

The media's renewed interest is partly due to the recent discoveries of the "hobbit" remains on Flores Island in Indonesia and the giant squid photographed by Japanese scientists, Coleman said.

And here is a loaded reference:

Cryptozoology has been taking its knocks since the discovery of Neanderthal man in the 19th century.

Many mainstream scientists at the time insisted the remains of Neanderthal were actually those of a sick or deformed human, said Coleman.

On one side, we have the creationists, who would like you to believe that every evolutionary biologist was suckered by Piltdown. "If they were wrong about that, they can't tell their butts from their elbows!"

On the other, we have the cryptozoologists, who would like you to remind you of all those bad, bad scientists who thought that Neandertals were sick or deformed. Why, "If they were wrong about that, they can't tell their butts from their elbows!"

Can't you just hear them? "They doubted us, but the ebu gogo is real! The giant squid is on tape! The truth is out there!

Can I just ask that future qualifying exams include a butt vs. elbow discrimination quiz?

Evolution trial experts speak out

Thu, 2005-11-03 21:04 -- John Hawks

Nature is carrying an interview with Kenneth Miller and Kevin Padian about their recent experience as expert witnesses in the Dover trial:

Why did you feel it was important to testify?

Padian: It's an opportunity when it really counts. One person can't be everywhere around the country talking to every school board and every parent group. But this is a case where, ultimately, these decisions are going to clarify things in a formal setting.

Miller: It is the right thing to do. The battle in Dover is just one example of local battles for scientific education all over the country. If people in the scientific community turn their backs on people in the front lines, then ultimately the cause of science in public education is doomed.

On the trial:

Padian: I didn't feel nervous. The judge was great. He is very smart, he is very attentive and he is running a tight ship, but it's not stiff. The defence lawyers are good people, and our counsel is just fabulous. The testimony took most of the day, and I was glad to relax after a process that had taken months of preparation.

On communicating science to the public:

Padian: If you want to explain something to people, it has to be put in terms of the issues that they find important. Politicians, judges and the media are not impressed by someone thundering in and claiming that they have all the right answers.

The Panda's Thumb is giving full coverage to the Dover trial with links to stories and a full timeline.

Hawks' First Axiom of Science

Wed, 2005-11-02 23:45 -- John Hawks

OK, I never thought I would start a list like this, but I have been irritated enough, already! So here it is:

Axiom I

The scatterplot conjecture

An empirical paper with fewer than 100 observations that does not include a scatterplot is to be seriously doubted.

Some selected papers may overcome this presumption of doubt, but scatterplot-avoidance is almost always a strategy to (a) cover up significant outliers, or (b) keep data secret so that the statistics cannot be replicated. Since these motives are enemies of science, the lack of a scatterplot (or even better, the data themselves) must inspire serious doubt.

FoxP2 knockout mice

Wed, 2005-11-02 22:15 -- John Hawks

Yesterday's post on mice mating songs left with a final question: Do FoxP2 knockout mice sing?

Thanks to a kind reader, I have a probable answer: no.

Although nobody has looked specifically at ultrasonic vocalizations in response to mating (since they didn't know about the singing before), they have studied ultrasonic vocalizations in pups when they are separated from their mothers. This paper by Weiguo Shu and colleagues (2005) studied such vocalizations in both heterozygous and homozygous knockouts.

Because FOXP2 has been directly implicated in speech and articulation, we examined the incidence of ultrasonic vocalizations in pups removed from their mothers. Ultrasonic calls are important for motherÐinfant social interaction (16) and represent important markers for neurobehavioral development (17). At postnatal day 6, the incidence of vocalization over time was dramatically reduced in both heterozygous and knockout animals as measured by automated vocalization monitoring (Fig. 4a). Repeated measures analysis demonstrated differences in mean number of vocalizations (P

Based on these results, we performed a spectrographic analysis of an independent group of animals at postnatal day 10 (e.g., Fig. 4b). There was a profound decrease in the number of ultrasonic vocalizations in heterozygous and homozygous knockout animals (Fig. 4c). The duration, peak frequency, and bandwidth of these vocalizations in the heterozygous animals were indistinguishable from wild-type animals (data not shown). In the course of these analyses, we also examined broad-spectrum clicks made by the mice. These clicks are of unknown function (18), and the information content of them has not been studied. Heterozygous and homozygous knockout animals were able to produce clicks, but the homozygous knockout animals produced clicks at a reduced incidence (Fig. 4d). The duration, peak frequency, and bandwidth of these vocalizations in the heterozygous and homozygous knockout animals were indistinguishable from wild-type animals (emphasis added).

Homozygote knockouts died prematurely, by 21 days after birth. Heterozygotes lived, but exhibited developmental delays.

The paper included histological study of the brains of the knockout mice, with this interesting finding:

No overt abnormalities were detected in the histologic appearance of the cerebral hemispheres and the subcortical structures, including the midbrain and pons. However, the knockout mice demonstrated the presence of a 3- to 4-cell thick external granular layer (EGL) at postnatal days 15Ð17, well after the normal resolution of the EGL (Fig. 3 aÐf). The heterozygous animals retained a one-cell-thick EGL at this age, whereas the wild-type mice were free of this early developmental feature. By adulthood, the EGL was absent in heterozygous animals (data not shown).

...

Granule cell progenitors in the EGL migrate to their final position in the granule cell layer along the radial fibers of the Bergmann glia (14). To determine whether the persistence of an EGL in the knockout animal might be at least, in part, explained by a failure of radial glial development, we stained radial glial fibers in cerebellar sections from postnatal day 17 animals with GFAP immunostaining (Fig. 3 jÐl). Radial glial fibers were visible in all genotypes. However, in contrast to the regularly aligned radial glial fibers in the wild-type animals, fibers in the heterozygous animals were in some areas thinner and less well aligned. In the knockout animals, there were often gaps in the radial glial network as well as areas where fibers appeared to be clumped into aggregates.

It's interesting to me that neural cell migration appears to be (at least one) important effect of the gene. This is the developmental step that forms the circuits in the brain.

References:

Shu W, Cho JY, Jiang Y, Zhang M, Weisz D, Elder GA, Schmeidler J, De Gasperi R, Sosa MA, Rabidou D, Santucci AC, Perl D, Morrisey E, Buxbaum JD. 2005. Altered ultrasonic vocalization in mice with a disruption in the Foxp2 gene. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 102:9643-9648. Full text (free)

Who's the leader of the club that's made for you and me?

Wed, 2005-11-02 21:47 -- John Hawks

According to this PLoS Biology paper by Timothy Holy and Zhongsheng Guo, mice can sing.

Previously it was shown that male mice, when they encounter female mice or their pheromones, emit ultrasonic vocalizations with frequencies ranging over 30Ð110 kHz. Here, we show that these vocalizations have the characteristics of song, consisting of several different syllable types, whose temporal sequencing includes the utterance of repeated phrases. Individual males produce songs with characteristic syllabic and temporal structure. This study provides a quantitative initial description of male mouse songs, and opens the possibility of studying song production and perception in an established genetic model organism (Holy and Guo 2005:e386).

The songs are ultrasonic, but share characteristics of organization with certain bird songs:

The richness and complexity of mouse song appear to approach that of many songbirds. For example, in the zebra finch, a widely used model organism for studying song production, individuals have a number (3Ð7) of syllable types [25,33] similar to the number of common types we find in mice (Table 1). There are other species, for example, canaries, whose vocal repertoire would appear to exceed that of mice [34]. Both mice (see Figure 6) and birds [25,33] exhibit regular temporal structure in their songs, including the production of repeated themes with sharp transitions between syllable types. However, mice also exhibit more gradual changes in syllable structure (see Figure 1). Overall, the tendency to repeat a syllable, with sharp transitions between types, appears to be stronger in some birds [34] and whales [3] than in mice. However, in birds these sharp transitions are a feature of the adult "crystallized" song; juvenile or isolation-reared birds are more experimental and less predictable in terms of the temporal structure of their song [33,35]. Indeed, our pitch-shifted recordings of mouse song sound similar to the early "plastic" song of species such as swamp sparrows (Audio S5). For this reason, any comparison between birds and mice should consider the development of mouse song over the lifetime of the animal. Such a study has been undertaken for properties like mean pitch and cadence over the first 2 wk of life [12], but is lacking for the more complex features that compose song (ibid.).

And I find this suggestion really interesting:

Because mouse songs are ultrasonic and therefore inaudible to human ears, it is worth noting that laboratory domestication has probably not acted to preserve the full richness of mouse song through generations inbreeding. One study documented considerable variability in the amount of vocalization by different laboratory strains [36]. In contrast, domesticated bird populations have been subject to song selection, and indeed sub-strains such as the Waterschlager canary have been bred for particular vocal qualities. It therefore seems possible that wild mice might exhibit considerably greater diversity and/or more complex structure in their songs. Future comparisons between the songs of mice and birds may benefit from using wild mice (ibid.).

Mouse song is a previously unobserved aspect of biology suddenly discovered after decades of selection that ignored it completely. Different laboratory strains (that differ both because of drift and because they were selected for different things) potentially have different song capabilities. I wonder if all the good singers are related? Or if mice bred for delayed mating still sing?

Next probable step: do FoxP2 knockout mice sing?

UPDATE (11/2/05): I love it when answers fall from the e-mail tree! See second post for the answer to the final question.

References:

Holy TE, Guo Z. 2005. Ultrasonic songs of male mice. PLoS Biol 3:e386. Full text (free)

The problem with HapMap: a parable of potholes

Tue, 2005-11-01 00:18 -- John Hawks

I've been sifting through some HapMap-related stuff. It's a tremendous resource for looking at human variation, but it also presents some tremendous problems. An interesting review of some of the information coming out of HapMap by Gil McVean and colleagues is running in PLoS Genetics.

These guys are statisticians working to analyze some of the data, and they put into words very well some of the issues I've been butting against.

There is great heterogeneity across the genome in terms of patterns of genetic variation. Some of this heterogeneity is due to variation in factors such as mutation rate and recombination rate. Some of this heterogeneity arises because of the stochastic properties of mutation and genealogical history. But there are also other forces such as natural selection and genomic features such as inversions that may influence local patterns of variation. How can we look for the effects of such factors? There are two approaches. Either we can try to predict what we would expect to observe under models with and without such effects [23,24], or we can simply look at the empirical distribution of statistics of genetic variation and take as candidate regions those showing extreme or unusual patterns. The difficulty of the first approach is that accurately modelling human variation (and SNP ascertainment) is probably impossible. The difficulty of the latter approach is that there is no guarantee that empirically unusual patterns point to biologically interesting features (McVean et al. 2005:e54, emphasis added).

I would add that there is an additional difficulty with the second approach -- namely, that it assumes that selection or other factors cause heterogeneity. More about that later.

This point about ascertainment and demography is an important one. Predictions about the effects of evolution (including drift) upon genetic variation are simplest under random sampling. Since the beginning of human genetics, almost no one has attempted to sample people at random. Some nonrandomness may be desirable -- for example, recent demographic changes make a random sample of today's humans very different in composition from a random sample of humans in 1491, or 6000 B.C., or almost any time in the past. Which of these "random" samples would represent the population whose history we care about? If we are interested in prehistoric events, we may find it desirable to represent peoples in proportion to their prehistoric distributions. This has precisely been the approach of some genetic surveys.

But even from this simple example, the problems with human demography are clear. We can try to shift samples to represent prehistoric "distributions" of populations, but geography is not the only aspect of demography that has changed. There have been massive population mixtures that would never have had the opportunity to occur in prehistoric times. There have been diseases and demographic crashes that we know about, and probably many that we don't know about.

The question is whether it is possible to arrive at a "rough draft" of human demographic history that would be precise enough to generate theoretical distributions of human variation. As it happens, that is precisely the goal of this paper by Stephen Schaffner and colleagues in Genome Research. From the abstract:

With the advent of large empirical data sets, it is now possible to calibrate population genetic models with genome-wide data, permitting for the first time the generation of data that are consistent with empirical data across a wide range of characteristics. We present here the first such calibrated model and show that, while still arbitrary, it successfully generates simulated data (for three populations) that closely resemble empirical data in allele frequency, linkage disequilibrium, and population differentiation. No assertion is made about the accuracy of the proposed historical and recombination model, but its ability to generate realistic data meets a long-standing need among geneticists (Schaffner et al. 2005:1576, emphasis added).

The problem with the approach is precisely in the boldface sentence. It is possible to use empirical data to calibrate a model that generates simulated data that is similar to the empirical data. The point of using such a calibrated model is to be able to show how strange certain regions are if they don't fit the simulated distribution, which is based on the empirical distribution.

But it's all circular.

Suppose we wanted to use a detailed topographic survey of a road to find the potholes. But for everyday roads, there is a problem -- there are lots of bumps and grooves that aren't potholes. And different parts of the road are more or less bumpy. It would help a lot if we could use the empirical distribution of bumps to simulate a section of road -- then we could figure out whether anomalies in the real road were likely to be potholes or not.

Now suppose that the road isn't just pocked with the occasional pothole -- it has a pothole every three or four feet. Remember why we're using simulations -- not only do we not know where the potholes are, we don't know how common they are. So our simulations based on the pothole-rich road will find that pothole-sized bumps are normal. If pothole-sized bumps are not unusual, then our simulation can have only one result: a pothole is not a pothole.

Consider this current paper on the CCR5Δ32 allele, generally thought to be recently selected in Europeans as a disease defense against smallpox (my earlier entry). Sabeti et al. (2005) revise the date of the mutation from only around 700 years ago to around 5000. But more important, they deny that the allele was necessarily selected. Why? Because its pattern of linkage disequilibrium is relatively common across the genome.

Our reanalysis of CCR5 shows that CCR5-Δ32 does not clearly stand out from the rest of the genome in terms of allele frequency distribution, population differentiation, or long-range LD (Figure S8). The high population differentiation and long-range LD found for CCR5-Δ32 are, in fact, far more common in the genome than previously believed, and therefore do not provide support for the hypothesis of strong selection for CCR5-Δ32. Using methods described both in the previous study [8] and in the current study, and by examining currently available data, there is no detectable evidence for recent selection for CCR5-Δ32 (Sabeti et al. 2005:e378).

Ceci n'est pas un pothole.

Why is it that simulations like these are not attempts to make accurate historical models? Quite simply, because they can't. After years of attempts at reconstruction human evolution based on "neutral" genetic loci, the HapMap at last has thrown out the possibility entirely. If we want to use the broadest source of information, we have to take with it some significant lumps. And one of the biggest is that we simply don't know the selective dynamics of most of the genome.

For the anthropologist interested in history, it is not critical that we be able to develop a model of demographic history accurate enough to serve as a theoretical distribution for testing selection. Our goals are often much less ambitious, and there is much information about demographic history to be had from the HapMap and like projects. But neither should we minimize the problems. Attempting to use simulations to match the variation of the genome as a whole simply isn't going to work, if any substantial proportion of the genome has been under recent selection. And as we move to higher parameter models of demography (Schaffner et al. 2005 attempt a 21-parameter model) selection on relatively few sites becomes more and more capable of distorting demographic estimates.

By far the worse problem is finding selection.

For example, McVean et al. (2005) embark upon an examination of the "tails" of the genome -- the parts that show highly unusual patterns of variation compared to most regions. The idea is that if these very unusual loci had areas of biological interest (i.e., particular genes), their very strangeness might lead to a hypothesis of historical change (such as selection).

But they run into problems:

Of the 19 genes with previous evidence for historical selection, 12 show an unusual pattern of genetic variation in at least one population (defined as having a value lying in either the bottom 5% or top 5% of empirical values). Superficially, this result suggests that statistical tests based on rejecting a simple population genetics model are effective at detecting genes of interest. However, for 114 tests, we might expect 11 to lie in either the top or bottom 5% of observations, compared to the 17 observed. Another concern is that genes of known functional and selective importance, such as Duffy and CD40 ligand, do not fall in the tails of the empirical distribution of Tajima's D and Fay and Wu's H statistics and others, such as MMP3, hemochromatosis (HFE), and aldehyde dehydrogenase 2 (ALDH2) show patterns that are unusual, but not indicative of the action of recent selective sweeps.

Multiple comparisons are pretty tricky across the entire genome and in multiple populations. Considering this, we might see the HapMap and similar surveys as hotbeds of type II error: if we go looking for strange things, we are going to miss the forest for the trees.

There are two main conclusions from these analyses. First, that biologically interesting loci often do have unusual patterns of genetic variation, but that there is no single way of measuring "unusual" that is uniformly powerful for detecting the action of natural selection. Second, that rejection of neutral evolutionary models is no guarantee that the locus is unusual when compared to the rest of the genome (McVean et al. 2005:e54).

"Unusual compared to the rest of the genome" is a phrase you should expect to hear a lot of in the next few years.

References:

McVean G, Spencer CCA, Chaix R. 2005. Perspectives on human genetic variation from the HapMap project. PLoS Genetics 1:e54. Full text (free)

Sabeti PC et al. 2005. The case for selection at CCR5-Δ32. PLoS Biol 3:e378. Full text (free)

Schaffner SF, Foo C, Gabriel S, Reich D, Daly MJ, Altshuler D. 2005. Calibrating a coalescent simulation of human genome sequence variation. Genome Res 15:1576--1583. Full text (free)

Chromosomal inversions in human evolution

Tue, 2005-11-01 00:18 -- John Hawks

A new paper by Lars Feuk et al. in PLoS Genetics is reporting on widespread gene inversions in humans. A press release at ScienceDaily announced the paper, and summarizes the results concisely:

According to [Stephen W.] Scherer, prior to this research, only nine inversions between humans and chimps had been identified. Using a computational approach, Scherer's group identified 1,576 presumed inversions between the two species, 33 of which span regions larger than 100,000 base pairs--a sizeable chunk of DNA. The average human gene is smaller, only about 60,000 bases in length.

Scherer's team experimentally confirmed 23 out of 27 inversions tested so far. Moreover, by comparing the chimp genome with its ancestor, the gorilla genome, they determined that more than half of the validated inversions flipped sometime during human evolution.

And of course if several hundred inversions occurred during human evolution, you can bet that 15 percent or so of them will vary among humans:

Perhaps even more interesting than the abundance of inversions that Scherer's group unveiled was their discovery that a subset of the inversions are polymorphic--taking different forms--within humans, meaning that the human genome is still evolving. When the 23 experimentally confirmed inversions were tested against a panel of human samples, the scientists found three inversions with two alleles or pairs of genes displaying the human inversion in some people, whereas others had one allele of the human inverted sequence and one allele of the normal sequence in chimps.

Three out of 23 is 13 percent, and the paper has this to say:

It would be expected that a certain fraction of the differences found between the human and chimpanzee assemblies are polymorphic in one of the two species, but perhaps not to the extent (13%) observed in this study (Feuk et al. 2005:e56).

Not surprising at all. Considering that most human loci have genealogical coalescents within the last million years, purely neutral alleles within any given genealogical linage have around a 15 percent chance (one million out of the six-million-year divergence) of occurring after the coalescent, and therefore being polymorphic. In reality, the odds of polymorphism are even higher, depending on the number and distribution of individuals used to ascertain variants.

But are these inversions neutral? According to the paper, the polymorphic inversions occur at 5, 30, and 48 percent frequencies (no indication whether the minor allele is ancestral or derived compared to primates). Few variants that are very much rarer than 5 percent will be ascertained by HapMap. At the same time, alleles over 5 percent frequency are pretty unlikely to be deleterious. Their high frequencies might suggest that these inversion variants have themselves been positively selected.

References:

Feuk L, MacDonald JR, Tang T, Carson AR, Li M, Rao G, Khaja R, Scherer SW. 2005. Discovery of Human Inversion Polymorphisms by Comparative Analysis of Human and Chimpanzee DNA Sequence Assemblies. PLoS Genet 1:e56.

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Chimpanzee language antics

Mon, 2005-10-31 23:39 -- John Hawks

Carl Zimmer has an article in Forbes covering recent experiments in chimpanzee vocal communication.

But don't write off those grunts and hoots just yet, at least according to a new study that appears in the Oct. 15 issue of the journal Current Biology. Katie Slocombe and Kaus Zuberbuhler, two primatologists at the University of St. Andrews in Scotland, investigated a particular noise chimpanzees make when they find food, called a "rough grunt." At the Edinburgh Zoo, the scientists fed the chimpanzees two different foods--apples and bread--and recorded the sounds they made. Chimpanzees prefer bread to apples, and Slocombe and Zuberbuhler discovered a corresponding difference in the rough grunts they made for each food. They hit a distinctively high note when they came across the bread, and but made lower and noisier grunts for apples.

It's a short article, supplemented by an entry on the Loom.

This online issue of Forbes

There are a number of short interview excerpts in the issue. One has Noam Chomsky discussing spontaneous language innovation in deaf communities. Another from Jane Goodall on the perils of e-mail communication:

I remember when I worked for Lewis [sic] Leakey, first as his secretary. He was very impulsive. He'd get a letter in the mail, and he would open it, and it would be perhaps something from a scientist he thought was quite ridiculous. You could hear him muttering "Bosh! Rubbish!" The poor bit of paper would be scored with his marks, and he'd turn to me and say "Get so and so on the phone!" I got very wise to his moods, so I would pretend the number was engaged, or the man wasn't there, and then an hour or two later, he was rational again.

And other interviews and articles, with Arthur C. Clarke, Wil Wheaton, Desmond Morris, Steven Pinker and many others. Many thanks to the reader who pointed me to the site.

Leakey interview in Der Spiegel

Sun, 2005-10-30 16:30 -- John Hawks

Der Spiegel is running an interview with Richard Leakey, noted paleoanthropologist and conservationist. The interview covers the Kenya elephant population, the circumstances of early hominid evolution, and dangers to the fossil record.

On the danger of cattle trampling fossils:

Leakey: ... But you are right, the situation is very grave indeed. Koobi Fora, the region you are referring to, is not only a National Park, it was also declared a World Heritage Site back in the early 1970s by Unesco. In spite of this, more and more livestock herders have muscled their way into the Sibiloi National Park with their huge herds of beef cattle. This is where our major excavations are situated. Immeasurable treasures are thus being lost.

On transferring fossils out of Kenya (and Ethiopia) for exhibition:

SPIEGEL: There are currently plans to ship what is perhaps the most well-known and most well-preserved hominid skeleton, the "Turkana Boy" from Kenya and "Lucy," an Australopithecus skeleton from Ethiopia, to museums in the United States and Germany.

Leakey: I consider these plans totally wrong and irresponsible and will do everything in my power to prevent them from happening. I will fight against them. The risk that something could happen to the fossils is too great. They should stay in the countries where they came from. They are extremely fragile. These plans are only about money. In the end, the loser will be science.

SPIEGEL: If Lucy were to spend six years in a glass case in an American museum, thousands of Americans -- rather than just a few researchers -- would be able to see her and marvel at an original hominid...

Leakey: ... which they couldn't differentiate from a copy. Throughout all of those years, any sort of important scientific work would be impossible. Researchers travel here from across the world to work on the find. Scientific innovations continually provide us with new means of analyzing the finds. Paleoanthropology is not a science that ends with the discovery of a bone. One has to have the original to work with. It is a life-long task.

All I can say is, don't ship them to the National Geographic Explorer's Hall -- when I was there, their display of the cast versions made (the very short) Lucy and the (fairly tall) Turkana Boy look the same height. How? The boy's tibiae were sticking through a hole cut in the floor of the display case!

Anyway, a good interview that covers the basics well and updates on Leakey's current work.

Wild primate urine sampling tenth worst science job

Fri, 2005-10-28 23:05 -- John Hawks

From the "any publicity is good publicity" department: Popular Science's list of the worst jobs in science includes "Orangutan-pee collector".

"Have I been pissed on? Yes," says anthropologist Cheryl Knott of Harvard University. Knott is a pioneer of "noninvasive monitoring of steroids through urine sampling." Translation: Look out below! For the past 11 years, Knott and her colleagues have trekked into Gunung Palung National Park in Borneo, Indonesia, in search of the endangered primates. Once a subject is spotted, they deploy plastic sheets like a firemen's rescue trampoline and wait for the tree-swinging apes to go see a man about a mule. For more pee-catching precision, they attach bags to poles and follow beneath the animals. "It's kind of gross when you get hit, but this is the best way to figure out what's going on in their bodies," Knott says.

The short article does point out the great value of the work in wild primate conservation and biology. And it doesn't call them "whiz kids"!

And it is sure seeming easier than job number 3: "Kansas Biology Teacher".

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Neandertals

For years, I've worked on their bones. Now I'm working on their genes. Read more about the science studying these ancient people.

Denisova

From a finger bone of an ancient human came the record of a completely unexpected population. My lab is working on the science of the Denisova genome.

Acceleration

The advent of agriculture caused natural selection to speed up greatly in humans. We're uncovering some of the ways that populations have rapidly changed during the last 10,000 years.

Malapa

Just outside Johannesburg, the Malapa site is producing some of the most exciting finds in human evolution. This site is the headquarters of the Malapa Soft Tissue Project.