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People do too like to read science

I don't worry too much about the subjects I choose to write about here. I write mostly about science because it follows my workflow, and honestly because people seem to like it.

But various elements among the "science blogging" crowd are wringing their hands about the sad state of affairs among "top-rated" science blogs. It started at Bayblab, where the complaint was that many so-called science blogs write little about science. In the comments (and elsewhere, such as Sandwalk, Uncertain Principles, and Blog Around the Clock), actual science bloggers raised an empirical point: they get more readers and more comments for their non-science content. Judging by results, they're better off writing about creationists, religion, politics, their favorite fiction, or the ever-present lolcats.

It seems a little silly, but I want to correct that misconception. Blogging about actual science is not a turn-off for readers. If it were, people like me or Carl Zimmer, or Cognitive Daily wouldn't have many readers. In fact, I get vastly more traffic for science-related posts than for anything else.

Now, it is fair to say that there is an ascertainment bias at work: I really don't do cat posts, or Dawkins-worship, I never write about politics, and I keep creationist-bashing to a minimum. I used to do a share of white supremacist-bashing, but I can't say that it really drove much traffic. No, I pretty much do science, and, well, science. In fact, my front page right now has nothing except science -- except this post, of course.

Sure, I have the occasional post questioning panda conservation tactics, and some quotes and whatnot. But those things hardly get any traffic on their own; they mainly fill in the cracks between the long posts on the front page. My experience is that people appreciate clear writing about science and will find blogs that do it consistently.

Here are my top five individual posts for February:

1. Last year's post, "The appendix: not just for appendectomies anymore?"
2. The mutation-child-development post, "Hunting for your child's DNA doppelganger"

3. The Icelandic gene-pedigree study, "Third and fourth cousin marriages more fertile"

4. Genetics and English history, in "Viking ancestry, surnames, and medieval genetics"

5. The review of last week's HGDP SNP surveys, "Serial founder effects, again"

I say "individual posts" because the vast majority of readers go straight to the main blog page. I tend not to hide the content of posts "under the fold," and regular readers don't generally need to view pages other than the main. So when I see a post show up in my log, I can be pretty sure that most of those page views come from outside referrers. That gives me a rough picture of who is finding my site from posts linked elsewhere. Likewise, Technorati gives a more-or-less direct picture of who is linking to what posts -- as long as the referring site is registered.

A second post from Bayblab suggests that bloggers write mostly for other bloggers, making the medium an inbred conversation. But I have to counter based on my statistics that the audience depends on the blogger:

1. The vast majority of traffic that finds pages on my blog from links at another site, comes from outside the usual "science blogs" sources. Yet, almost all of my inbound links are to science content. More than half my inbound visitors are finding the blog from Google or Yahoo because they are searching for some topic I've covered. A large fraction now comes from news stories, for which editors or authors have graciously provided links to more specialist content. I get significant inbound traffic from newsgroups, as well as bloggers outside of science.

2. None of the top 30 referrers to my blog are from ScienceBlogs. Developing a following among other blogs is great for links, but does not particularly drive many readers. I link outbound to blogs in probably half my posts, but I wouldn't characterize this as a conversation; it is generally more like a toast after a good meal. Two of my top 30 inbound referrers are science blogs (GNXP and Dienekes).

3. A dedicated following of readers is an awe-inspiring, humbling thing. My readership includes some of my scientific colleagues, and I think it's wonderful. I also have a number of other bloggers who read and are kind enough to link into my posts. But if I were primarily aiming for these groups, I would be happy with 200 readers. I have vastly more readers from outside the field, who are interested in anthropology, and who are looking for more detail than the usual news stories about the field. It seems to me that this is the core audience for a science blog, and if a blog doesn't have much success with science content, it is because it is missing this audience.

4. I don't have comments. Bloggers may like getting a lot of comments, because it gives the appearance of a conversation. But it doesn't take more than a glance at comment sections like the one at Tierney Lab to see that getting lots of comments is not an indicator of the value of a post. If people are commenting heavily on a post, it usually means that they think they're at least as qualified as the blogger to vent about the topic.

Personally I love to hear from readers -- and if you write to me with an idea, there's a decent chance I'll follow up with a post. But I don't think most of you are looking for a free-for-all with any anonymous schmo who wanders in off the internets. It doesn't have to be that way, though -- for example, the comments section at Cognitive Daily is superlative. As I continue to update the cogs and wheels that run this site, I may experiment a bit with commenting to see how it might go.

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Where have I been?

This is one of those days! The semester is starting, all the students and faculty are driving back to the University, every student yearning to make it to that early morning class, and WHAM, 7 inches of snow. Leading to the longest commute ever.

In the meantime, I've been slow updating this week because I'm doing a lot of work on the back-end. You'll see some changes in the site as I roll out the new system over the next few weeks. Overhauling a site like this one takes quite a bit of work, but in the end there will be some new functionality and better support for some of the newer features, like the interviews.

This also marks the beginning of my course, "Genes and human populations." It has been two years since I taught it, and I've realized that almost the entire course will consist of new material that didn't exist last time! This is an incredibly rapidly changing field, and that's exciting. If you're following the blog, you'll see some of the summaries and assessments of the field of human genetics and how genes relate to our lives.

Oh, and there may be some new hominids to look at, too. It will be an interesting few months, to be sure.

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New Year's predictions, 2008 edition

It's that time of year again -- the time when those boring ``Year in Review'' magazines are on newsstands, and when pundits make fools of themselves predicting what will happen in the next year.

Well, I'm not too proud to join the fools, as I've shown the last two years. In 2006, I got five predictions right out of ten. Not bad for my first outing, but you'll see that last year's predictions fared even better:

  • 10. Sahelanthropus postcrania will be published. I'm frankly shocked that this didn't happen. I don't doubt the rumors, but I'm starting to wonder whether this story is more interesting than it looks....
  • 9. Two words: Holocene evolution. OK, this was a little unfair, considering that my work was an important part of making this prediction come true. Still, Discover made ``recent human evolution'' one of its top 100 science stories of the year, even before our December paper came out -- mainly on the strength of the paper by Scott Williamson and colleagues from earlier this year. And "Human genetic variation" was Science's "Breakthrough of the Year" -- most of that variation representing recent evolution.
  • 8. Despite (or because of) the success of the Neandertal genome project, there will be no genetics of any kind published on early modern skeletal material. Puzzling, isn't it? But then, considering the trouble with Neandertal contamination reported in August, maybe we're better off leaving the early Upper Paleolithic alone for a while.
  • 7. The mitochondrial history of human dispersals will become more and more detailed, but no paper will test against other loci. D'oh! Reading this one a year later, it's pretty obvious that I should have included Y chromosome in this one, since those two get compared all the time! Proofread, Hawks!
  • 6. Another (yes, another) paper about the chimpanzee-human divergence will peg it between 5 and 7 million years ago. Will they never tire of these? Hobolth et al. (2007, PLoS Genet 3:e7) pegged the divergence at 4.1 million years. That's too recent to fit my prediction. Instead, I have to turn to Ebersberger et al. (2007, Mol Biol Evol 24:2276), who placed the divergence at 5.7 million years ago. Both estimates are too recent for Sahelanthropus, which the geneticists have started to figure out....
  • 5. Three papers with new Ethiopian fossils. The last few years, one annual Ethiopian find seemed to be predictable enough. So I figured, why not three? We got a not-nearly-noted-enough paper this summer by Gen Suwa and colleagues descringing the Konso Homo erectus remains. Then, Suwa brought us Chororapithecus -- hey, I didn't say "hominid!" That's two. But despite the long-ago announcement of the Woranso-Mille skeleton, its appearance in a meetings abstract and a mid-summer press release about further Mille fossils, all we got from the peer review system is a lousy faunal list. Well, the faunal list does include the hominids. Should it count as a "paper with new Ethiopian fossils?" I'll say yes -- hey, unlike Aramis, at least the Mille fossils are new!
  • 4. Another early Upper Paleolithic specimen will emerge from a museum collection. The only bizarre thing about this one was the location: South Africa. Hoffmeyr may not be that convincing as a European early Upper Paleolithic skull, but it was sure sold that way. Weird.
  • 3. A big year for Miocene apes, which will look increasingly important in the story of human brain evolution. No brains, but it sure was a big year for Miocene apes, with two significant East African discoveries claiming to push back the timeline of African ape divergence.
  • 2. Maturation rate in early Homo becomes a dead issue, because of the variation in dental and skeletal maturation in living people. Wishful thinking. Still, did Tanya Smith (2007) breathe new life into perikymata? Let's just say that unresolved questions remain.
  • 1. The year will end without a single new hominid species having been named. This one was like dodging a bullet, since new species riffle out of paleoanthropologists' minds all the time. From 2001 to 2006, there were six (six!). In 2007, none.
  • BONUS: A dramatic development in the problem of pre-2.0-million-year-old Homo. Rats.

OK, that's seven out of ten. It's beyond belief that I did better in the top five than the bottom five -- I picked those because they were far out there. I mean, really -- a new Upper Paleolithic specimen from a museum collection? After Muierii, that's like calling lightning to strike twice. But there it is, and in January, no less.

I'm clearly going to have to pick stranger predictions this year. And I'll have to be careful about that "dramatic development" line -- I mean, it's appropriately Delphic, but what is it supposed to mean, really? I wonder whether "operatic development" might be better.

And do I dare call down my non-lightning strike for a third year? It's ruining my percentage! It's starting to reek of desperation -- I mean, it starts to look like the stopped watch effect even if it happens.

Oh, well. I mean, those are just the risks of predictions, right? Suppose in the preseason I had picked Kansas to win the Orange Bowl!

  • 10. A dramatic development in the Sahelanthropus story.
  • 9. Both major-party candidates for the 2008 U.S. Presidential election will accept evolution.
  • 8. This year's featured piece of anatomy: the femur.
  • 7. No new hobbits, at least, not from Flores.
  • 6. An incisive example of introgression in East Asia.
  • 5. A viral insertion in the human genome will tell us about a disease of the australopithecines.
  • 4. Another language gene joins FoxP2. No word on whether Neandertals have the human version.
  • 3. Homo habilis: an endangered species?
  • 2. This year, something new from three A's: A. afarensis. A. africanus. Atapuerca.
  • 1. Oh, and one more A. Ardipithecus.
  • BONUS: A big, big year for Neandertals. I mean, besides the election.

There you have it. I'm not sure which of these is the riskiest, but I'm sure they're more out on a limb than last year!

Things I didn't expect to happen today

I am absolutely overwhelmed by the interest and press given to our paper about acceleration of human evolution. So far, the paper hasn't yet shown up online at PNAS, but you can get a copy here and there, or by asking me for a preprint.

Google News is tracking 240 stories worldwide on the research as of today, and that link also points to comments by two of my coauthors, Eric Wang and Henry Harpending.

I just wanted to dash down a list of things that have surprised me:

1. I didn't expect to be on the Drudge Report.

2. I didn't expect to be on Rush Limbaugh's stack of stuff.

3. It feels very strange to be on drive-time morning radio shows in Australia. It's like traveling to the world of tomorrow! Because, well, it is.

4. A talkative 2-year-old may function as an effective prop when talking to a reporter about the relationship of selection and fertility.

5. I didn't expect to get six inches of snow.

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Despite appearances, I am not a shill

OK, so the last couple of days it seems like I've been a repeating station for the New York Times Science section. That's mostly by accident -- there were some new stories and some backlogged ones that I had meant to take note of.

But there is also a bit of design -- I'm in Knoxville right now giving guest lectures at the University of Tennessee. They're treating me really well, and I'm happy to meet lots of graduate students and my friends on the faculty. And I got a tour of some of the facilities here, including the incredible skeletal collection resulting from donations to the "Body Farm."

Tomorrow's lecture is a trial run of some of my new research: "Neandertal Viagra, and Other Wonders of the Genomic Age."

Wish you were here!

Oh, and for an appropriate research donation, I could change the name of the lecture to "Neandertal Cialis"...

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Do you like the site? Here's your chance to vote

The Scientist is asking you to vote for your favorite life science blogs. Razib was kind enough to mention yours truly. They are giving you a chance to list some of your favorites -- so do stop by and recommend some.

UPDATE(2007/09/20): Wow, you guys are awesome! Thanks, you make me want to write more. I don't have the most links out there, but my traffic data are always a lot higher than most, so I know you keep coming back. Thanks for letting everybody know!

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What's up?

I took the holiday weekend off -- we did a lot of planting and a lot of playing outside in the great weather.

Then, yesterday's post got eaten by the computer, which has stopped giving me battery warnings. I suppose it's time for a new one...

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Encephalon 22 here next week

Next Monday (May 7) I'll be hosting a blog carnival, Encephalon, devoted to neuroscience. If you have posts that relate to the topic, just let me know (jhawks@wisc.edu) and I'll include a link and short teaser.

If you want to know what this is all about, you can find the last Encephalon at Ouroboros.

You don't have to be an expert, and diverse takes on the current neuroscience scene are appreciated!

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That acceleration thing

If you've come via a link about my current work, please welcome! I'm really not going to write about it here until our publication -- journals can be persnickety that way. But I am giving a talk about some aspects of the work today.

I keep more backups than Alaska

I wouldn't have figured it, but it's true:

JUNEAU, Alaska: Perhaps you know that sinking feeling when a single keystroke accidentally destroys hours of work. Now imagine wiping out a disk drive containing information for an account worth $38 billion.
That is what happened to a computer technician reformatting a disk drive at the Alaska Department of Revenue. While doing routine maintenance work, the technician accidentally deleted applicant information for an oil-funded account - one of Alaska residents' biggest perks - and mistakenly reformatted the backup drive, as well.
There was still hope, until the department discovered its third line of defense, backup tapes, were unreadable.

"Three lines of defense" is charitable; we're talking about two backups, in one location. What if there were a fire? I may be paranoid, but I keep five current backups in three locations, in addition to a series of older backups on disc.

For Alaska, it cost $200,000 to rescan the paper records. If you're an impoverished graduate student reading this, consider who will retype your dissertation -- or worse, re-collect your data. Backup often!

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Brake pads, cheap

Some of you may have tried the site yesterday or this morning and found an ad farm trying to sell you "John Hawks brake pads".

This is not my new calling. Although a few more human-chimpanzee divergence dates, and I may chuck it all!

My domain registrar went into meltdown and was unable to process renewals, just as mine needed renewing. Something about the three guys running the company trying to get each other arrested.

Fortunately, I'm one of the lucky few whose domain was actually managed by another company, and I've been able to "push" my domain to a safe account. So everything is back to normal. The new DNS settings may take a while to percolate through the internet, but otherwise we're in good shape.

What a mess!

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DNS flaking out

The site has been down periodically this week; it's not a problem with my server, but the DNS at my registrar is flaking out. Bad time for them to have problems, since it's time for me to renew. I'll be switching in the next week or so.

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Science blogging anthology available

Bora Zivkovic has edited and compiled an anthology of 50 outstanding science blog posts from 2006. The word "posts" is maybe a bit too informal -- the majority of these are essentially light review articles of one kind or another, with some opinion and some humor. In essence, it's good writing as applied to science (including the online work of some well-known science writers), directed toward a scientific readership.

I think it's a very interesting niche. The choices aren't as "bloggy" as the average content of most science blogs -- instead of short, snarky posts interleaved with more serious fare, there is a good selection of long, thoughtful pieces. It's also a different kind of filter than the interlinks of all the different blogs generally provide -- these are all well-written, but not necessarily the most prominent or visible.

Personally, I hope that this will be a new format for scientific writing. The strength of the blog form is that it encourages a journalistic style applied to topics more specialized than journalists generally cover. The weakness is the flat organization: it's hard to focus in on the posts that are interesting, versus the posts that are just notetaking.

I post a mix of notes, ideas, and links from other places -- I thought once that I would maintain a separate level of the site for more detailed essays, but maintaining different levels really defeats the purpose of quick reaction and progressive writing. And Google, Technorati, and links from other sites function very well to impose a structure on things -- the most interesting are usually highly rated. If anything, that's the bloggy style. A well-devised mix tends to gain readers, but it also can put off certain professionals who like to see their subject treated with, well, a certain decorum.

So I think an anthology like this really highlights one strength of blogs: the ability to find good and diverse writing. The strength of the anthology is putting several things together in one place that would be difficult to find separately -- I certainly couldn't have found these 50 posts, and even with a list of them, it is unlikely I would systematically read all of them.

I would suggest that alternative anthologies might arise to examine special subjects -- for example, viewpoints on race, or anticreationism, or genomics. Such collections could exploit the other major strength of the medium: its interactivity. Posts don't just exist in a vacuum; they react and generate reactions from other sources.

I'll certainly be writing with this in mind from now on.

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New Year's predictions, 2007 edition

It's a hazardous business, making predictions -- all the moreso because New Year's predictions have a deadline. If they don't happen this year, well, that's too bad, because we'll be checking back a year from now to see how well you did.

Last year, I did pretty well. My 2006 predictions are listed below. I ordered them originally "from most certain to most speculative". As you can see, the first five (i.e., the more "certain" ones) all came true; the last five (i.e., the wild-arsed speculations) didn't. So let's check them out:

  • 10. We will see a name for the Flores pathology. OK, we got several names, and the issue is far from settled, but this was the year that the Homo floresiensis doubters struck with their papers on the remains.
  • 9. There will be two Neandertal genome-related announcements. I undercalled this, since there were three -- the initial announcement in June of the Neandertal Genome project, the announcement and publication in November of the initial sequence results, and the announcement about possible introgression of microcephalin.
  • 8. No Ardipithecus. Sometimes, predictions write themselves.
  • 7. "Population cluster" will become the new "race". This one is debatable, but enough papers on multi-ethnic SNPs have used the term this year, that I think it is emerging as the replacement for the race concept for a certain class of geneticists. I expect it will continue -- "cluster" has such a neutral computer-program-centric connotation, that people like to use it.
  • 6. There will be another paper (yes, besides the one last month) using genetics to estimate the time of the human-chimpanzee divergence. The date will be 5 million to 7 million years ago. Oh, my. There have been bigger messes than the Patterson et al. 2006 paper, but not many. Yes, it was yet another paper with a 5-million to 7-million-year-old divergence, but it had so much more!
  • 5. Evidence of recent selection will be found for several Y chromosome genes. Wishful thinking or prediction for the next year? You decide!
  • 4. Sahelanthropus postcrania will be published. This one didn't happen this year, but I'm carrying it over onto the 2007 list.
  • 3. There will be an ancient DNA announcement from China. Someday it will happen, but not this year or next.
  • 2. StW 573 will be proposed as a new species ancestral to all later hominids. Well, we got the opposite -- with a new younger date, StW 573 was proposed as the ancestor of...nobody! Which was by far the smaller of the redating stories this year.
  • 1. A Hawks weblog post will be cited in a peer-reviewed research paper. We can only hope this happens in the coming year, but carrying it over just seems desperate...
  • BONUS: A new Georgian hominid will be a robust australopithecine. I still think somebody will find an australopithecine outside Africa in the next decade, but it's not to be from Dmanisi -- the hominids are too localized in a single feature.

So that should give some indication of how to read the list for the next year. I'm listing from more certain to more speculative again, and again I'm excluding most of my own work. The main effect of this is just that I'm not including secrets that I know will be coming out this year. Once again, the predictions are Delphic -- if only I were cleverer, I could make them come out right no matter what!

  • 10. Sahelanthropus postcrania will be published.
  • 9. Two words: Holocene evolution.
  • 8. Despite (or because of) the success of the Neandertal genome project, there will be no genetics of any kind published on early modern skeletal material.
  • 7. The mitochondrial history of human dispersals will become more and more detailed, but no paper will test against other loci.
  • 6. Another (yes, another) paper about the chimpanzee-human divergence will peg it between 5 and 7 million years ago.
  • 5. Three papers with new Ethiopian fossils.
  • 4. Another early Upper Paleolithic specimen will emerge from a museum collection.
  • 3. A big year for Miocene apes, which will look increasingly important in the story of human brain evolution.
  • 2. Maturation rate in early Homo becomes a dead issue, because of the variation in dental and skeletal maturation in living people.
  • 1. The year will end without a single new hominid species having been named.
  • BONUS: A dramatic development in the problem of pre-2.0-million-year-old Homo.

I ended the year with just a shade fewer than 1 million visits since last January 1. The Neandertal women brought me over 10,000 readers in a single day -- the most ever. I know a few of the big stories from the coming year, but there will be many more that nobody can predict. There's no doubt in my mind that 2007 will be a big year!

John Hawks

John Hawks in Nature
I'm an anthropologist, and I study the bones and genes of ancient humans. I was trained as a paleoanthropologist. ``Paleoanthropology'' is more than a speciality within anthropology, or biology. It is an integrated study involving methods and insights from many fields. Unlike many paleoanthropologists, my study extends across the entire span of human evolution, the last 6 million years, as I examine the genetic and environmental causes that made the foundation of our origins. My academic position is Associate Professor of Anthropology at the University of Wisconsin—Madison. I am starting my seventh year in Madison.

Paleoanthropology:

What does it mean to be a paleoanthropologist? To use evidence from the fossil record, we must be trained in human anatomy -- especially bone anatomy, or osteology. We have to know the anatomical comparisons between humans and other primates, and the way these anatomies relate to habitual behaviors. The social and ecological behaviors of primates vary extensively in response to their unique ecological circumstances. Understanding the relationship of anatomy, behavior, and environment gives us a way to interpret ancient fossils and place them in their environmental context.
John Hawks with casts

Ancient environments were not the same as the ones we can explore today. These environments included different plants and animals, and they underwent large climatic shifts over time. Learning about the environmental context of human evolution. This is the subject matter of geology and paleontology, which are also essential to understanding the chronology of events in the past.

Integrating human biological evolution with the record of human behaviors requires a knowledge of archaeology. Stone tools and human-modified animal bones are the earliest record of our behavior. But some of the most recent evolutionary changes in humans happened at a time when people lived in cities and grew agricultural crops -- an even broader area of archaeology, ranging into history.

My doctoral advisor was Milford Wolpoff, who is well known as an innovator of the "multiregional" theory of modern human origins. But one of the reasons why Milford was so interesting to me as a student was his work on nearly every time period in human evolution -- ranging from the earliest hominids up to the evolution of modern humans. The integrative view across different time periods focuses on evolutionary theory and mainstream biology, not the particular hypotheses relating to any single event. I have been able to take this broad perspective in my own work -- I've written papers about the earliest hominids, later australopithecines, the origin of the genus Homo, Neandertals, modern human origins, and evolution within modern humans of the Late Pleistocene.

Statistical approaches to fragmentary samples

Skeletons don't generally come out of the ground whole. And there aren't very many of them. That means we need ways to compare and make conclusions based on bits and pieces. Every problem in paleoanthropology is to some extent unique, because it depends on a unique combination of the bits and pieces. My unique ability is figuring out how to make valid comparisons out of this mess.

Sometimes this means working out boundary conditions for valid comparisons. That is to say, sometimes the data look like an evolutionary trend happened, but how can we know that the "trend" isn't just the way the bones happened to fall into the ground?

For example, a lot of people used to think that Neandertals in Europe became stranger and stranger-looking over time. Their increasing anatomical "specialization" was taken as evidence that they were evolving separately from other humans -- the two groups were proposed to be more and more different into the last ice age. But together with Milford, I was able to show that Neandertal features weren't becoming more specialized. Instead, Neandertals seem to have maintained a fairly consistent degree of difference from other human populations throughout their existence, with many features evolving in the same pattern in Neandertals and other humans.

This was a case where understanding the evolutionary theory was essential to interpreting the pattern of anatomical evolution. Clearly, Neandertals and other humans were different. But how much difference is expected between populations that share a common pattern of evolution? And how much difference does it make that the small samples of these populations come from different times and places? Those are the kinds of questions that I answer.

Population genetics

Population genetics is the mathematical theory of evolutionary change. It major development occurred during the 1920's and 1930's by Ronald Fisher, Sewall Wright, and J. B. S. Haldane. The concepts of population genetics were integrated into the study of biological evolution during the 1930's and 1940's, and the study was consolidated as the "Synthetic Theory" of evolution.

I'm a bit of a fundamentalist about genetics. A lot of interesting strings were dropped by Fisher and Wright, and didn't really get woven into the synthetic understanding of populations. I've been working on picking up a few of these. Additionally, the later development of genetics by people like W. D. Hamilton, John Maynard Smith, and C. H. Waddington created new opportunities to examine the evolution of populations over time. But for the most part, their theories have been examined in a static context, without a consideration of their dynamics over time.

If you're training to be an anthropologist, some of this probably sounds strange and foreign to you. It's OK. Read some Dobzhansky, that will give you a start.

My current work has involved two of these dropped threads of theory -- one related to the introgression of selected alleles onto new genetic backgrounds, and the other...well, the other is a secret for the moment. Introgression is a possible model for a number of genes that appear to document the genetic survival of Neandertals into later European populations. The idea that a gene could be plucked from an ancient population and actually succeed in a later population

Anthropological genomics

During the past few years, I have spent an increasing proportion of my time working with data from the Human Genome Project, the International HapMap, and other projects that have generated information about the workings and variation of multiple genes.

Ten years ago, we were lucky to be able to assess the variation of a single gene within more than one human population. I, like many other people, spent much effort trying to distinguish the effects of natural selection and ancient human demography on a single gene. Most people who know anything about human genetics will remember those days well -- nearly 10 years spent arguing about what mitochondrial DNA could say about modern human origins, without any substantial information from any other gene! My dissertation tried to test hypotheses about ancient human demography using information from four genes. That was a major innovation!

The missing connection in genomics is the historical and prehistoric record of human evolution. Both recent and ancient evolutionary changes in genes had effects on human phenotypes. Genomics has recently made two things very clear. First, the kind of variation between people is heterogenous -- with different genetic systems showing different patterns of variation. Second, the pace of change during human evolution was not uniform.

This is the most active area of my research, and so I can say the least about it. Last year, I published a paper titled, "Recent acceleration of human adaptive evolution," which documented a massive increase in the rate of evolution in the last 30,000 years. By some measures, human evolution has been proceeding at a rate a hundred times faster than ever before. Together with several other colleagues, including Gregory Cochran, Henry Harpending, and Robert Moyzis, we continue to look for evidence of recent adaptive changes. We hope to discover some of the genetic changes that have made recent humans different from ancient hominids like the Neandertals, in addition to making us different from each other.

Other stuff

My scientific work hasn't been limited to genetics and fossils. Lately, I have become more and more interested in the problems of cultural transmission and information theory. This is part of my "first principles" approach to problems in prehistory -- I think that we have to build an account of the origins of culture that is based in the simplest rules of information transfer.

In a sense, these issues are very similar to the issues of genetic transfer and the evolution of human genetic variation. However, with genetics we are beginning with a very well-defined system with rules that have hardly changed since the Paleocene. The content in humans is new, but the system is old.

With culture, we have a very new system, certainly novel in primates, that has been rapidly changing. The transmission properties are not well defined, and our ability to pick up information has recently rapidly evolved. Why? What were the factors that led to these new adaptations? How do the problems of information transfer relate to the human perception and use of signs? What are the connections between information theory and semiotics in the origin of culture?

It's an interesting problem, and since none of it is secret, I've been writing about it a bit.

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The Weblog Awards 2006

I've been nominated for a Weblog Award, in the category of Best Science Blog. It's really exciting to be nominated! Of course, there's no prize for winning...

The 2006 Weblog Awards

Voting is now open, and will be open until December 15. It looks like people can vote once every 24 hours.

To me, that sounds a little obsessive. But I figure, if people will call in for John O'Hurley, then why not?

Speaking of obsessive, the site uses Flash for its voting mechanism. Most people have it installed on their systems for one thing or another -- it seems that most commercial sites use it these days. But if you don't, please don't install it just for this; it's not worth the time!

And if you've never heard of some of the other nominees, you might want to check them out -- there are some really interesting and compelling blogs there!

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Welcome, Instapundit readers

It's a minor deluge, but I have some extra traffic today from Instapundit, linked to the barbaric yawping post. I'm still waiting on the cannibalism paper to come out in PNAS before I write much about it, so I hope you'll all come back often!

This is helping a lot to get up to a million visits in 2006, which is pretty great for this anthropology blog. So keep clicking over!

Also, I'm nominated for the 2006 Weblog Awards in the category of Best Science Blog. Voting hasn't started yet, but when it does I'll post a link. I don't have anything like the traffic of some of the big ones, but I know that I have some very loyal readers!

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Incredible demand, backup server

I got slammed with crazy demand after the Neandertal genome stuff came out today. I will be updating later today with more information, including an FAQ.

In the meantime, I will be moving the site intermittently to the backup server. This is notably suboptimal, I know, because it will be static-rendered so lots of stuff won't work properly. The next step, if it becomes necessary, will be to cut down the content so that the Neandertal pages will load for more people.

So if you are new to the site and exploring for the first time, please forgive me if things aren't working properly.

The regular server will be back online full time by tonight or tomorrow. I want to thank everybody very heartily for taking the time to stop by!

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Thanks for coming!

I haven't been checking my stats much lately, aside from making sure things are running, but I was looking at the numbers today and noticed some amazing upticks.

October was my best month so far with over 93,000 visits. And the last few months have put me on a pace to surpass a million visits this year -- the total for 2006 is already at 828,000.

So keep on coming by -- I guarantee there will be some very interesting stuff in the next two months.

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Sick, sick, sick, sick, sick

That's what we've had here at the Hawks homestead, which explains the lack of activity here over the last week. First four kids and then me, felled by a mystery virus; but now all are mostly recovered! Back to work...

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