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paleoanthropology, genetics and evolution

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  • Asteroid defense: think small

    Sat, 2013-02-16 15:08 -- John Hawks

    Rand Simberg: "Should NASA Be Doing More Asteroids?"

    In fact, it’s not at all clear that NASA is the right place for this to happen, particularly given all its organization dysfunction. I would submit that there is currently no government agency chartered to protect the planet. I think I’m going to write up an op-ed or two declaring that it’s time to fundamentally reorganize the federal space establishment, including the formation of the Space Guard.

    When I hear "Space Guard", I imagine NASA as implemented by the staff of Homeland Security.

    Seems to me the fastest way to get effective planetary defense is large-scale asteroid micromining. I was skeptical about the practicality of the asteroid micromanufacturing idea I mentioned here last month ("Autonomous asteroid manufacturing"). But suppose we had a company with the technical ability to ship an indefinite number of 70 kg payloads from the asteroid belt to Earth. That company has everything needed to fling an indefinite number of 70 kg impactors from the asteroid belt at another asteroid in a lower, Earth-intersecting orbit.

    This is essentially the same idea as the "kinetic bombardment" concept for space weapons -- inert masses that strike targets at orbital velocity, nicknamed "rods from God". Instead of having to launch all that mass from Earth up to escape velocity, the scheme can use a huge amount of mass already at higher orbital energy, using autonomous manufacturing to package the mass with devices that can decelerate into an intercept orbit. Assuming a lead time of a few years, this ought to be a lot cheaper and more flexible than any Earth-based solution, and it has the side effect of providing material and goods for wider space colonization.

    The best reason to manufacture things in space is so that you can use them in space, after all.

  • Autonomous asteroid manufacturing

    Tue, 2013-01-22 20:03 -- John Hawks

    Adam Mann of Wired describes the interesting plans of Deep Space Industries, working on the idea of how to make money from asteroid mining: "New Asteroid Mining Company Aims to Manufacture Products in Space".

    A year later, DSI wants to launch larger spacecraft called DragonFlies that can make a round-trip journey to an asteroid and bring back samples. They estimate the trip will take two to four years and can return as much as 70 kg (150 lbs) of asteroid material to Earth orbit. DSI has patented technology they claim can extract precious metals from raw asteroid material and build it into parts with a 3-D printer.

    The article makes it sound like they're trying to finance space operations by selling tchochkes.

    Real manufacturing of most light-yet-expensive items today involves layers upon layers of different substances fitted together into complicated objects. That kind of assembly and separate refining of hundreds of substances on an asteroid would be a true engineering challenge. It's easy to see that the ability to manufacture parts in space at large scale would be much more valuable for use in space than back on Earth.

  • Space radiation

    Fri, 2013-01-04 14:44 -- John Hawks

    Maggie Koerth-Baker, on "How space radiation hurts astronauts". I did not know about this part:

    Cucinotta calls this pre-flight calibration. Scientists take a blood sample from an astronaut before the launch. While the astronaut is in space, the scientists divide that blood sample up and expose it to various levels of gamma rays — the kind of damaging radiation we're used to dealing with on Earth. Then, when the astronaut comes back, they compare those gamma ray-affected samples to what has actually happened to the astronaut while in space. "You see about a two-to-three fold difference across the population of astronauts," Cucinotta told me.

    The sample size of astronauts is small enough that I was surprised to see significant effects for one condition: cataracts. The article notes that the Mercury and Gemini astronauts had less spaceflight time than Mir and Skylab cosmonauts and astronauts, which is obvious, but I wonder how they control for the extensive flight time of astronauts who were former test pilots and the consequent history of radiation exposure before going to space.

  • Stone tools on the moon

    Thu, 2012-11-29 21:46 -- John Hawks

    Moon rock is expensive here on Earth, but on the moon it's as cheap as dirt. So maybe future moon colonists could make stuff out of it using 3-d printing technology?

    Typically, lasers use 300 to 400 watts to melt conductive metals. But the moon material was more similar to ceramics — Bandyopadhyay’s area of expertise. He had used that material for 3-D printing through selective laser sintering, where a powder is fused with intensely focused pulses of light, layer by layer, to form a specific object. He knew that throwing metal-specific levels of power at an insulator like this would only cause most of the energy to be absorbed, and the molten material to lose viscosity.

    “If you go higher, then what will happen is you will go from honey to water, and then what happens?” says Bandyopadhyay. “It flows so much that you cannot make a part. So you need to have, you know, high enough to melt, but low enough not to overflow, basically. That’s the challenge.”

    Now imagining casts made from lunar regolith.

    I hate the idea of having to depend on tools made from an inferior material, when slightly greater expense and more time could transport metals from the asteroid belt. Oh, wait a minute - that's the basic tradeoff of Oldowan technology in Africa, isn't it?

  • Martian will

    Wed, 2012-11-28 15:46 -- John Hawks

    Adam Mann in Wired covers Elon Musk's ideas about putting people on Mars: "Elon Musk Wants to Build 80,000-Person Mars Colony".

    That first flight would be expensive and risky but “once there are regular Mars flights, you can get the cost down to half a million dollars for someone to move to Mars,” Musk told Space.com. ”Then I think there are enough people who would buy that to have it be a reasonable business case.” Musk added that he sees the future 80,000-person colony as a public-private enterprise costing roughly $36 billion.

    I'm right now finishing an essay about the constraints on human colonization of space, so to see this topic developing in the news again is a good thing.

  • Anthropocentric aliens

    Tue, 2012-10-02 10:12 -- John Hawks

    Steve Silberman provides an in-depth interview of Lee Billings, in the middle of writing a book about the discovery of extrasolar planets: "Five Billion Years of Solitude: Lee Billings on the Science of Reaching the Stars".

    I do think humans are motivated to daydream about extraterrestrial intelligence, and, to put a finer point on it, extraterrestrial “people.” They are motivated to dream about beings very much like them, things tantalizingly exotic but not so alien as to be totally incomprehensible and discomforting. Maybe those imagined beings have more appendages or sense organs, different body plans and surface coverings, but they typically possess qualities we recognize within ourselves: They are sentient, they have language, they use tools, they are curious explorers, they are biological, they are mortal — just like humans. Perhaps that’s a collective failure of imagination, because it’s certainly not very easy to envision intelligent aliens that are entirely divergent from our own anthropocentric preconceptions. Or perhaps it’s more diagnostic of the human need for context, affirmation, and familiarity. Why are people fascinated by their distorted reflections in funhouse mirrors? Maybe it’s because when they recognize their warped image, at a subconscious level that recognition reinforces their actual true appearance and identity.

  • MacGuffin

    Thu, 2012-09-27 22:26 -- John Hawks

    The headline of this Guardian story really says it all: "Priceless Tibetan Buddha statue looted by Nazis was carved from meteorite".

    The 1,000-year-old carving, which is 24cm high and weighs 10kg, depicts the god Vaisravana, the Buddhist King of the North, and is known as the Iron Man statue.

    It was stolen before the second world war during a pillage of Tibet by Hitler's SS, who were searching for the origins of the Aryan race.

    I can have only one reaction to that, really: "It is something that man was not meant to disturb. Death has always surrounded it. It is not of this earth."

  • Interstellar design

    Sat, 2012-09-22 11:08 -- John Hawks

    Popular Mechanics has an article that goes through some of the basics of space flight design principles: "What would a starship actually look like?"

    One look at the Icarus design—or its predecessor, the Daedalus—and it’s clear what starships don’t need: wings. The only real-world spacecraft that bother with wings are ones designed to make regular landings on runways, such as the retired Space Shuttle, the upcoming Lynx (a suborbital two-seater from XCOR) or the Dream Chaser, an in-development orbital craft from Sierra Nevada. And wings aren’t even required for landings. Like the Russian Soyuz capsule, SpaceX’s Dragon currently splashes down in the ocean (though SpaceX plans to move toward rocket-powered launchpad landings).

    In both the near and far-term future, experts such as Millis imagine interstellar vessels won’t spend much of their time in an atmosphere. Perhaps the small ships that carry people from surface to starship will remain winged, but truly interstellar vehicles can scrap aerodynamics and all of the design principles that are beholden to reducing wind resistance.

    I got to spend a little time sitting in the Lynx prototype last fall, and I have to say it was pretty awesome.

    Of course the large ships that would be capable of interplanetary or interstellar voyages have very different design requirements than something meant to land on Earth. My interest in these is broader than aeronautical design: What are the human requirements of sustaining a population for dozens or hundreds of years?

  • Astrobiology editorial

    Mon, 2012-08-13 15:56 -- John Hawks

    Nature has a short opinion piece about NASA's astrobiology initiative [1].

    A common misconception is that astrobiology is equivalent to the search for life elsewhere. Some people have even gone so far as to say that it is a science without a subject because we don't yet have any evidence for extraterrestrial life. But that is a flawed argument that has been put to rest on several occasions (see, for example, ref. 10). Many experiments in science target hypothetical particles or objects; biology is simply handicapped by the fact that first principles and mathematics provide limited predictive power. In fact, the search for life beyond Earth is just one subset of astrobiology. As Knoll et al. have written: “astrobiology can be thought of as the application of geobiological principles to the study of planets and moons beyond the Earth.”

    The essay points out that NASA changed its biological science organization in part to address the failures of confidence resulting from past efforts (e.g., Martian meteorite fossils). The authors also discount the search for "alien" environments on Earth, after a short reference to the recent "arsenic-eating bacteria" story.

    And some of the attempts by other researchers to extrapolate to other parts of the Universe the ability of microbes to adapt to extreme environments may be due more to the struggle for funding than to the desire to study habitable planets.

    As long as our sensing systems are adequate only for observing the chemistry of bodies in our own solar system, extreme environments and exotic chemistry are the only game in town for astrobiology. But a new generation of space telescopes may able to collect evidence about biospheres on planets outside our solar systems, which means that "ordinary" terrestrial ecosystem science may have renewed relevance. There's a chance that organic chemistry and atmospheres rich in free oxygen will spring up all over the place. If so, astrobiology will look an awful lot like terrestrial biology. Meanwhile, recognizing signs of exotic life chemistry on distant worlds may be harder.


    References

    1. Lazcano A, Hand KP. Astrobiology: Frontier or fiction. Nature. 2012;488(7410):160-1.
  • Space news

    Tue, 2012-06-05 14:46 -- John Hawks

    From Alexis Madrigal: "Hey, brother, can you spare a Hubble?"

    Now, we get word from the Washington Post that the Department of Defense has gifted two better-than-Hubble telescopes to NASA. That's right. Our military had two, unflown, better-than-Hubble space telescopes just sitting around. This story is almost unbelievable; it feels like a hoax. But it's not.

    More details are in the Washington Post article. The problem with the gift is that NASA has no budget to actually fly these telescopes and staff their operations.

    I bet the private space ventures could figure out a way to use them...

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